Diagnosing RFP Award Declines

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Diagnosing RFP Award Declines

There is a particular kind of quiet that settles over an RFP team when win notifications slow down and people keep working, but the energy shifts. Leaders begin to ask pointed questions about “what changed.” In the often thankless role of an RFP writer, this is a devastating time when they question every move, wonder if they will have a job, and feel pretty miserable. Unfortunately, most RFP Teams are only valued by the measure of their last win. 

When your win rate drops, it is tempting to look for a single explanation: the market got tighter, the competition got better, the evaluators misunderstood your strengths. These are all valid roadblocks, and leaders must consider this before blaming a perceived incapable team. The good news is, RFP Teams can take action to analyze market fit, internal alignment, and the day-to-day discipline of how responses are planned and executed. 

For teams that already understand the basics, such as compliance, deadlines, checklists, and clear formatting, it is an opportunity to move beyond answering questions and treating RFP performance as a strategic system that can be diagnosed, adjusted, and improved.

A decline in wins nearly always reflects issues in one or more of these areas:

Research on complex B2B selling and RFP strategy underscores the importance of selective bidding: without a strategic approach to which RFPs you pursue, teams burn resources on low-fit opportunities and default to price competition. 

At the same time, classic sales research points to familiar reasons for losing deals: inadequate discovery, weak differentiation, lack of customer understanding, and failure to present clear, credible value. These issues show up just as strongly in proposals as they do in live sales conversations.

Crunching the Numbers

Before rewriting a single paragraph, the first step is to understand what “wins are down” actually means for your organization. Industry benchmarks suggest that average RFP win rates tend to hover around the mid-40 percent range. Teams that invest in more rigorous capture and qualification processes frequently see higher win rates, while those that chase volume tend to experience volatility. RFP-focused research emphasizes that win/loss analysis is one of the most potent ways to improve bid strategy, but only when it is structured and consistent. Collecting award data and presenting it to the finance team is a valuable tool in providing senior leadership with clarity into competitor pricing and what may need to be done to become more competitive.

Rather than treating each loss as an isolated disappointment, aggregate at least 12–18 months of data and look at:

When win rates drop, proposal teams often tighten their focus on content. That is necessary, but not sufficient. In many organizations, sales teams and CEOs are having rich conversations about partnerships, pilots, and strategic direction that never make their way into the RFP function.

Research on B2B sales and marketing alignment shows that when go-to-market teams share insight, jointly define target segments, and align on messaging, revenue growth improves significantly. APMP and other proposal organizations similarly emphasize the need to bridge capture and proposal work so that themes and messaging stay consistent from early conversations through final submission. The structure of collaborative diagnosis includes:

Strategic Win-Loss Analysis

1. Formal debriefs with the buyer

2. Internal narrative review

3. Competitor and tabulation analysis

4. Coding and tagging insights

RFP SchoolWatch

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